We bounced back this week going 3-1-1. We picked up 1.9 units. We made a dent in the hole from Week 1, and hope to continue our push back to the positive side. For the season we're now 5-8, with a loss of 3.7 units, and a -25.87% return. This is how we got there.
Cleveland -1 This game played out, about how we thought. Its amazing the difference a decent punter and attempting to cover receivers makes. We're not sure we can still back the Browns this week, though. Miami's poor performance's against good teams in their first two weeks, could leave them undervalued.
Tampa Bay +3 A late rally by the Buccaneers got us a cover. We were nervous throughout the game, but the late rally pushed us across and to the window when we thought we were looking at a push.
Seattle / Pittsburgh under 17.5 2H - We tweeted this play out via our handle @TheSportsMarket. A solid theory on second halves is in blow-out games the team winning will run the ball. If the opposite team is bad, they'll struggle to score. Therefore in games with double digit spreads, when the favorite is covering at half time. Look to play the under in the second half. Especially if the team leading starts the second half with the ball.
Dallas -3 Tony Romo's injury almost gave us a loss and his return got us a push in overtime, as he led his team back with an overtime victory. They did get the ball down to the one yard line and took the easy field goal. We obviously would have loved the Cowboys to push a TD through, but there's a reason 3 is the keyest of numbers in football. This was a prime example of making sure you pay attention to which side of 3, you end up on.
Cincinnati / Denver under 41 The Bengals may just be better than we thought. Two Bronco turnovers led to short fields for the Bengals, which ended up being the difference in getting to the window. Totals have been tough all year. The scoring has been historically high. We're likely to lay off the totals until we begin instituting our models in two weeks.
Here's some early week games we may move on:
Detroit -3.5 @ Minnesota - we would love if it gets to 3. We just highly doubt it does. We'll have to be extra sure with a number like this.
Green Bay -3.5 @ Chicago - same as above
Pittsburgh -10.5 @ Indianapolis
Cleveland -1 This game played out, about how we thought. Its amazing the difference a decent punter and attempting to cover receivers makes. We're not sure we can still back the Browns this week, though. Miami's poor performance's against good teams in their first two weeks, could leave them undervalued.
Tampa Bay +3 A late rally by the Buccaneers got us a cover. We were nervous throughout the game, but the late rally pushed us across and to the window when we thought we were looking at a push.
Seattle / Pittsburgh under 17.5 2H - We tweeted this play out via our handle @TheSportsMarket. A solid theory on second halves is in blow-out games the team winning will run the ball. If the opposite team is bad, they'll struggle to score. Therefore in games with double digit spreads, when the favorite is covering at half time. Look to play the under in the second half. Especially if the team leading starts the second half with the ball.
Dallas -3 Tony Romo's injury almost gave us a loss and his return got us a push in overtime, as he led his team back with an overtime victory. They did get the ball down to the one yard line and took the easy field goal. We obviously would have loved the Cowboys to push a TD through, but there's a reason 3 is the keyest of numbers in football. This was a prime example of making sure you pay attention to which side of 3, you end up on.
Cincinnati / Denver under 41 The Bengals may just be better than we thought. Two Bronco turnovers led to short fields for the Bengals, which ended up being the difference in getting to the window. Totals have been tough all year. The scoring has been historically high. We're likely to lay off the totals until we begin instituting our models in two weeks.
Here's some early week games we may move on:
Detroit -3.5 @ Minnesota - we would love if it gets to 3. We just highly doubt it does. We'll have to be extra sure with a number like this.
Green Bay -3.5 @ Chicago - same as above
Pittsburgh -10.5 @ Indianapolis
No comments:
Post a Comment