CBB For Wednesday 11/30/2011

We'll begin our first recap of CBB next Monday now that CFB has slowed down.  We released these plays earlier today to try and get the best of the number on Twitter.  (As always you can follow us @TheSportsMarket.) 


We beat the market in all instances except for Pittsburgh.  The only one we would not play at current market prices is Dayton (-9).  Good luck tonight. 



CBB

1 ★

Pittsburgh -5.5

Dayton -7.5

Wisconsin +8

2 ★

SDSU -2.5

Week 12 NFL Recap and Tuesday CBB

Rough one in MNF and on Thanksgiving Day for that matter in the NFL.  Luckily we had a very successful Sunday to make up for it.  We went 8-6 on the week, picking up 1.8 units.  For the year we're now 69-60-1, up 9.9 units for a 3.81% return.

We released these plays earlier today to try and get the best of the number on Twitter.  (As always you can follow us @TheSportsMarket.) We would still play Miami OH at the current price (+11), but would pass on Ohio St. at the current -7.5.  Below is what we put out earlier:

CBB

1 ★

Ohio St. -5.5

Miami OH +12.5

Week 12 CFB Recap and MNF

A very successful end to our season.  Despite the loss on our large Penn St. play, we were able to make up for it in other areas.  We went 14-6 and picked up 13.7 units on the week.  For the year we're now 151-125 (54.7%), up 25.8 units giving us a 4.55% return.  That pretty much wraps up the CFB Regular Season.  We may have a few positions this week, but will likely tone it down until Bowl Season.

In MNF tonight we have two positions:

NFL

2 ★

NYG +7.5

NYG / NO under 51

Week 12 NFL Sunday and CBB

We wrapped what ended up being a very successful CFB Regular Season yesterday.  It was not without its triumphs and failures, but we hoped to have proven that over the long-term we have a winning approach.  We'll be back early this week with a full season recap.  Below is what we're on for today's NFL Sunday and a few more CBB.  Note: Some of the NFL plays we released earlier this week.

NFL

2 ★

Buffalo +9.5

Carolina -3

Atlanta -9.5

Carolina / Indianapolis under 47

Chicago / Oakland under 41.5

CBB

1 ★

St. Louis -5

Minnesota -4

Week 12 CFB Saturday

Here's what we're adding to what we posted yesterday.  Also, we're waiting on a few more lines through out the day to hopefully move in our favor.  We'll probably put those out on Twitter @TheSportsMarket.

CFB

2 ★

Oregon St. +28

Oregon St. / Oregon under 64.5 (may want to parlay this with the above)

Texas Tech +13

Tulane +16.5 (wait it may hit 17, but we'd play it here also)

East Carolina / Marshall under 54

Week 12 - NFL & CFB Headstart

We went ahead and put these in a bit early for this weekend, trying to grab what might be the best of the line.

CFB

3 ★

Penn St. +14.5

2 ★

Ohio St. +7.5

Cincy / Syracuse under 49.5

MD/NC St. under 49.5

IL / MN under 44

NFL

2 ★

Carolina -3

Week 12 - Black Friday College Football and Hoops

God Bless Texas!  Yesterday, the Longhorns saved us from what could have been an ugly day.  We hope you sprinkled a little on the ML like we usually recommend as Texas came through for the out right win.  Sadly, we moved to 0-2 on CBB.  We're going to take 2 more shots today, and then possibly shut it down until the model is full operational.  Here's what positions we've taken today:

CFB

2 ★

Louisville +4

Louisville / S. Florida under 44.5

Colorado +22

Colorado / Utah under 48.5 (you may want to parlay this and the previous)

Iowa / Nebraska under 53.5

Arkansas +12.5

NCAAB

1 ★

St. Louis -1.5

Fairfield +1

Week 12 - Turkey Day

Happy Thanksgiving to everyone.  We hope you are enjoying this day with you and yours and giving thanks for all the wonderful things in your life.  Below is what we're going to be on while watching and or falling asleep to after a great meal.

NFL
2 ★

San Fran +3.5

Dallas -7

CFB

2 ★

Texas +9

Texas / TX AM under 54

NCAAB

1 ★

St. Louis -17.5 (released on Twitter).

Good luck, and as always don't forget to follow us on Twitter @TheSportsMarket.

Week 11 NFL Recap and MACtion.

This week was probably our most successful week in the NFL.  For the week we went 9-5-1 and picked up 7 units.  For the year we're now 61-54, up 8.1 units for a 3.52% return.  Tonight, we're back in MACtion, we're going to put this out now, but feel free to wait.  It may rise and you could get it at +10.


2 ★

Miami OH +9

Good luck, and as always don't forget to follow us on Twitter @TheSportsMarket.

Week 11 CFB Recap and MNF

We grinded through another profitable week in CFB.  Nothing to get too excited about, but anytime there's a plus sign, we'll take it.  For the week we went 16-14 and picked up 2.2 units.  For the year we're now 137-119, up 12.1 units for a 2.35% return.

Tonight in MNF feel free to call us square.  We liked NE earlier in the week at 14.5 and waited to see if it would drop to 14.  A mistake on us, but we want to grab it before it gets any higher.  Tonight's MNF position:

2 ★

New England -16.5

Good luck, and as always don't forget to follow us on Twitter @TheSportsMarket, this maybe a good spot to play the second half under if NE jumps out all over the Chiefs.  We'll tweet that off if that's a position we take.

Week 11 NFL

2 ★Jacksonville/Cleveland under 34

TN / Atlanta under 44.5

Philadelphia / NY Giants under 44.5

Buffalo +3

Tampa +15

San Fran -10

Jacksonville +1

Cincinnati +7

Chicago -3.5

TN +6.5

PHI +5.5

Dallas -7

Good luck, and as always don't forget to follow us on Twitter @TheSportsMarket for other updates throughout the day

Week 11 - CFB Saturday

Here's what we're on, on this lovely Saturday.


2 ★
Iowa -2.5
KS +31
MN/NW under 58
IND/MI St under 53
Akron / Buffalo under 46
Tulsa -13.5
FA +11
WA -2
Army +13
MS St +13
GA Tech / Duke under 57
NM/WY under 54.5 (look to parlay this with NM)
MD/Wake under 56
SMU/Houston under 76 (look to parlay this with SMU0
Miami FL / South FL under 52.5
Tulsa/UTEP under 56.5
TX Tech / MO under 56.5
LA Tech +7
LSU/MS under 46
KS St/Texas under 54
Colorado +11


Good luck, and as always don't forget to follow us on Twitter @TheSportsMarket for other updates throughout the day.

Week 11 NFL and CFB

After two straight winners in MACtion, we'll have 3 positions for tonight.  Two in tonight's NFL matchup and one in CFB.


2 ★
NY Jets -6
NY Jets / Denver under 40


2 ★
Marshall -11


Good luck tonight, we'll be posting some more for this weekend tomorrow.

Week 10 NFL Recap and Tuesday Night Football

We gave back what was a pretty good NFL weekend last night, but it happens.  For the week in the NFL we went 7-6 and picked up 0.8 Units.  For the year we're now 52-49 and up 1.1 units for a 0.56% return.

Tonight we have one play in MAC, we've cashed on N. IL the last two weeks, but are going against the Huskies tonight.


2 ★
Ball St. +17.5

We also have one more for the weekend, our 3rd of these types.  The closest to a "Lock" in our book.


3 ★
Kansas St. +9.5

Week 10 CFB Recap and MNF

We took a step back in CFB for the first time in over a month.  We went 15-17, and lost 7.4 units.  For the year we're now 121-105 and up 9.85 units for a 2.17% return.  Below we have two positions tonight in Monday Night Football.

2 ★

Minnesota / Green Bay under 49.5
Minnesota +13

Week 10 Sunday

Our positions for today's NFL.

2 ★

Jax/IN under 37.5
Denver +3
Buffalo +5
NO - pk
WA/Miami under 37.5
WA +4
Houston -3.5
TN +3.5
Baltimore -6.5
Houston / TB under 454.
SF -3.5

Week 10 CFB Saturday AM

Early AM additions for us:

2 ★
Rice +17
Texas -1.5
Kent -4.5
Kent / Akron under 39.5
Baylor / Kansas under 75
Duke / VA under 53.5
Wisconsin / MN under 64
Fresno St. -7

Week 10 CFB Saturday

After a very successful week going 3-0, we coast into Saturday.  Here's what we're on today.  We'll probably update with something later today as well.  As always don't forget to follow us on Twitter @TheSportsMarket for other updates throughout the day.

2 ★
Ok St. -20
WV +4
OH St. -7
NC St. -2
KY/Vandy under 45
Oh St. / PD under 46
Nebraska -3.5
San Jose St. +10.5
LA Lafayette / Arkansas St. under 58
Wisconsin -27
Oregon St. +8.5
UCLA +7
Florida Atlantic +17.5
SDSU -13
MD/ND under 56.5
UNLV -7

Week 9 NFL Recap

We finished up our NFL week yesterday with another win.  For the week we were 10-5 and +9 units.  For the year we're now 45-43 up 0.3 units for 0.19% return.  We may be back later today with a position in tonight's CFB game.

Week 9 - CFB Recap and MNF

Our march back continued on this past week in CFB, as we had our best CFB week by far.  We went 18-11 and gained 13.8 units.  On the year we're now 106-88 for a stellar 54.6% and up 17.25 units for a 4.51% return, putting us a past where we even stood before "Bad Variance Saturday."

One position for us tonight in MNF;

2 ★
Chicago +8

Week 9 - NFL AM Additions

A good day yesterday for us.  Our Sunday morning additions.  Remember to follow us on Twitter @TheSportsMarket as we may release a few more throughout the day.

2 ★
Cleveland / Houston under 41.5
New York Jets / Buffalo under 45
San Fran / Washington under 38
Seattle / Dallas under 45.5
Cincinnati / Tennessee under 41.5
St. Louis +2
Seattle +11
Tampa Bay +9
Buffalo -2.5

Week 9 - CFB Saturday

Lost a close one last night, but a decent start to our weekend all things considered.  Our Saturday morning additions to what we posted yesterday.  Remember to follow us on Twitter @TheSportsMarket as we may release a few more throughout the day.

2 ★
MN +28
IN +28
Syracuse / WV under 45
Kansas +14
Louisville / West Virginia under 52
North Carolina / NC St. under 55
Arkansas St. / FAU under 47.5
MTSU / TN under 55
AZ St. / UCLA under 56
New Mexico +35
New Mexico / SDSU under 57 
(Two above could be worth a small correlated parlay)
UT St. / Hawaii under 58.5 

Week 9 - CFB Friday Night and Then Some

We had a nice night last night going 3-0.  Tonight we have one position and are getting down on a few more for tomorrow early.  We're also going to have two 3 ★ positions for the first time this year.  These were positions we would have taken with our own handicapping, but were also confirmed by our model.  We also are making sure to get down early on a few NFL games for Sunday.

Friday Night:

2 ★
Central Michigan / Kent under 44

Saturday


3 ★
 Northwestern +17.5 - We really like Northwestern in this spot and despite playing Nebraska last week, think they're very overrated.  They haven't really beaten anyone other than Michigan St. and got them in a perfect let down spot.  Two of our algorithms liked this, so we decided to upgrade the positions.

TCU/ Wyoming under 58 - Our model likes this play and we're upgrading it based on the weather.  Tomorrow in Laramie it's calling for not only 3-5 inches of snow but winds in the mid-20s and gusts into the mid-high 30s. A common misnomer is that snow creates low scores (how'd that work for WV/Rutgers?).  Its not necessarily the snow that creates the unders, but the wind.  Obviously wind often accompanies the snow, so playing in a snowstorm and playing in snow (when the storm has passed) are two different things.  With the high winds expected tomorrow we're upgrading this position.


2 ★

Notre Dame -13.5
La Tech +3.5
MS -1.5
Cincinnati / Pittsburgh under 54.5
South Florida / Rutgers under 49
Army / Air Force under 59
Tulane / SMU under 52.5

1 ★
Alabama -4.5
Boise St. -42

Sunday NFL 


2 ★
Cleveland +10.5
San Fran -3.5
Cincinnati +3
GB -5.5
Miami +4

Week 9 - Thursday Night CFB

Tonight we have a slight lean towards Boston College, but will be passing.  Florida St. has played very well since the return of E.J. Manuel.  We have 3 positions for tonight's games.  Good luck!

2 ★

Tulsa +2
Tulsa / Central Florida under 49
Florida St. / Boston College under 47

Week 8 NFL Recap and Tuesday Night CFB

A very promising start to Sunday unwound a little and and we hopped in the juicer going 6-6 this week.  For the year that now brings us to 35-38, -8.7 units and a -6.27% return.

Last night we released a 2 unit play on the Cleveland Browns at +10.5 via our Twitter account @TheSportsMarket.  This game feels about a field goal too high for us.  The Browns have one of the most underrated defenses in the NFL and it should keep them in most games this year, or at least from getting blow out.  Also, Peyton Hillis may return this week.

Tonight our model actually likes both the side and the total:

2 ★

Northern Illinois +10
Northern Illinois / Toledo under 68


We also have an additional early week CFB position for Saturday.  Northwestern +17.5 @ Nebraska.  Nebraska was able to take advantage of an emotionally spent Spartan team last week.  We thought they've been a bit overrated all year, and my be hitting their peak in how the market perceives them in the post-Wisconsin loss portion of this season.