Thursday January 26th CBB

Our first big dive with the new model tonight.  A bit of a set back last night (partially due to OT as always), but tonight maybe a big judge of how this will play out.

2★

Appy St. +2

Fresno +2

Nooga +8

Citadel +9.5

Ga South +3.5

Valpo +1.5

Butler +4

S. AL +3.5

BC/VA under 111.5

NV +4

N. CO +2

MT +1

UC Riverside +10

Pepperdine +4

UT +22.5

Portland +15.5

Good luck tonight

Wednesday January 25th CBB

We bounced back with our new model on Monday and had another winning night with our model or two unit plays last night, but gave alot back with what we thought were strong plays on WY and PD.  I wouldn't look for us to have too many more of those.  Here's what we like tonight:

2★

N. IL +20

St. Louis +2

Missouri St. +1.5

N. Iowa -1

UCF +3.5

TX Tech +11.5

1★

Dayton +5 (released last night)

Time to Adjust

What started out as a bad week became two.  Then we leveled off and had another terrible week.  At some point it maybe more than variance.  Two terrible weeks in a row followed by a week where we didn't rally and just broke even should have a been a clue, but sadly we didn't realize it until Saturday night.  Our CBB model was obsolete.

We're not here to try and hide facts or twist our record.  It is what it is and we own.  For us its just a very very hard lesson in breaking out the noise between variance and approach just not working.  After a month of going 131-145-8 and losing almost 60 units, its about time we reach that point.

We've adjusted our model back tested it against all the games this year and last and things we've made the necessary adjustments going forward to try and turn things around.  You can't win every year at every sport.  We'll continue to grind in the hopes that our new approach is profitable.  You'll see our CBB record posted, but we're looking at the rest of this year as a new year, and will separate it from what we've done to this point.  As we said, we own what's happened till now, so the bad record will still be here for all to see.

With all that being said and a glint of new light and hope, here's what we're on tonight.

2★

Siena +10.5

William and Mary +11

Loyola Marymount +1

Saturday January 21st Evening CBB

A decent start to the day.  Here's what we have for the rest of the evening.

3★

Vandy -7

Pit -2 

(Both posted yesterday)

2★

Cornell +3.5

Citadel +24.5

E. IL +3.5

Tn Martin +11.5

MQ -6

St. Joes -5

E. Carolina +1

UTEP +3

Tulsa +1

Ball St. -10.5

LaLaf +2

N. Colorado +3

SE MO St. +16

USC +9

USC +9

Fresno +9.5

St. Mary's -12

Saturday January 21st CBB Through 3pm

A really nice bounce back on Thursday.  Hoping to push it through today.  Here's what we're on in the early afternoon.  Some of these got put out yesterday.

2★

Maryland +9.5

Dayton pk

Wake +1.5

Miami OH +9.5

Toledo +2.5

Butler -7.5

UNCW PK

UCF PK

GT +8.5

Cincy +5

Boise +3

1★

Dayton / Xavier over 137

Thursday January 19th CBB

New Mexico did some damage last night.  Trying to bounce back with this card tonight.

2★

Appy St. +8.5

TN Martin +11

Vandy +5

Fairfield -6.5

Siena +1

Tn St. +2

SIU Edwardsville +9.5

FAU -4.5

Niagara -2.5

Loyola Marymount +17.5

USC +6.5

AZ St. +10

Stanford -1.5

CS Northridge +15

1★

VA/GT under 115 (posted yesterday)

Wednesday January 18th 2011 CBB

Dropped a few yesterday.  We put out probably our strongest play since starting this blog last night with New Mexico -8.5 and added another at 9.5.  We beat the line by 2 points for our 3 unit position and 1 point for our 1 unit position.  Here's the rest of what we're on tonight, an early one for tomorrow.

4★

New Mexico -8.5/9.5

2★

Toledo -8.5

Bowling Green +3.5

Akron +2.5

Delaware +12.5

La Salle +5

St. Joe's +6.5

St. John's +6.5

Clemson +4

Memphis +1

Tulane +8

NW +10.5

TCU +19

THURSDAY 

2★

Georgia Tech / VA under 115

Tuesday January 17th CBB

Tonight we've got a few plays worth blogging about.  Lost the only one we had last night, but here's what we're on tonight:

2★

Georgetown -9

Auburn +9

Arkansas +16.5

Boise St. +6.5

1★

Maryland +11.5

If Maryland goes to 12 we'll be adding 2 more unit.

Saturday January 14th CBB Rest of The Night

Bit of a tough start to the day, but nothing that we can't recover from.  Here's what we're on the rest of the night.

2★

E. WA -1

FL -7

Buffalo PK

Princeton -1.5

Rice +3

Santa Clara +19

Zaga -10

Detroit +3.5

FIU +10.5

Jax St. +9

SIU Edwardsville +15.5

S. AL +1

UT St. -4

TCU +8

Hawaii +12.5

Cal Poly -3

Idaho St. +4.5

Saturday January 14th CBB Through 5pm

The following is what we're on today in college hoops.  In the NFL Playoffs we made a 1 unit play on NE -13.5.  We're waiting to see if the public continues to come in on New Orleans in the hopes of getting +4 with San Fran.  Either way it will be a two unit play for us, but we're hoping for the better number.

2★

UConn -1.5

MS PK

KS St. -3

Davidson -8.5

Toledo +10

Brown +13.5

Georgia St. -36

Wright ST. +5

Va TEch -10

Depaul +15.5

Loyola Chicago +2

Iowa St. +14

Colorado +8.5

UMass -1

Pepperdine +10.5

VCU -7.5

1★

Dayton -1.5

Dayton/La Salle over 137.5

Thursday January 12th CBB

Scratched out a little bit of profit yesterday.  Big card tonight, this is what we've narrowed it down to.  We also have a 3 unit play we put out last night and upgraded this morning.

CBB

3★

St. Mary's -3.5

2★

Idaho -1

Chattanooga -2

Clemson -9

Siena -3.5

Wisconsin +3

W. KY +7

G. Mason +4

MN +10

Jacksonville St. +18

TN Martin +10

E. KY +6.5

UNCGB +15

S. AL +7

VA +11

SJSU +16

Oregon +1

Colorado +12.5

Wednesday January 11th 2011 CBB

After a short break we're back tonight with a full card.  Hoping there's some value here.  We thought we were turning the tide on Saturday, but had a rough Sunday and Monday.  Maybe the day off was needed.  Either way here's what we're on tonight:

CBB

2★

Duquesne +6

Wake Forest +6.5

UMass -4.5

Fordham +14

Old Dominion -2

Kent -9.5

C. MI -1

LSU +12

1★

St. Bonaventure -4

UTEP +6.5

Arkansas +2

Sunday January 8th CBB and NFL

We bounced back a bit in NCAAB yesterday.  Let's hope that marks the end of a rough two weeks and we can start grinding back to where we know we can be.  Here's what we're on in hoops today and one NFL game.

NFL PLAYOFFS

2★

Denver +9 (we're actually waiting for it to hit 10, but would play it here)

CBB

2★

Depaul +8.5

IN -6.5

Niagara +4

Fairfield +1

Cal -2.5

1★

Wisconsin -2.5

Saturday January 7th Rest of the Day

Not exactly a bounce back start, but here's what we're on the rest of the day.

2★

St. Bonnie +4.5

E. MI -1.5

Dayton +7.5

Florida St. -1

Wofford +1

MIami FL +6.5

Old Dominion -20.5

Nooga -7.5

Toledo +6

Hofstra +3.5

Ok St. +11

Richmond -3

SIU Edwardsville +5.5

La Monroe +9

Ark-LR +2

Pepperding +4.5

UT St -4.5

UCI -2.5

CS North +14.5

Weber St. -3.5

SJSU +7

1★

GA St. +3

Akron -3.5

Creighton -11.5

Saturday January 7th Early Games

Been rough lately, so tread lightly.  In the playoffs as we mentioned we'll be playing a teaser of Cincinnati +9.5 and Pittsburgh -2.  Gets us across some Key #s and we believe lines are tighter this time of year.  That's a 3 unit play for us.  Here's what we're on early, and dont forget to follow us throughout the day @TheSportsMarket

2★

Canisius +14,

VT -6.5

Fordham +8

Duke -11.5

Loyola Chicago +14

St. John's +13

KS -5.5

Charlotte +9

Evansville +8.5

Wednesday January 4th 2011 CBB

We often don't provide an explanation, but tonight we have one of our 2 unit plays below.  Its not a "model" play , but involves two teams we've been following closely.  We released it earlier today on Twitter, but with 140 characters its hard to fully explain.


St. Louis -3.5 @ Dayton: Flyers just lost their 2nd leading scorer (Benson) and will have no real presence inside. They're going to be forced to score from the outside (only something CJ and Paul Willy can do), and something SLU defends well. If they tempt Dillard and Parker into a jack fest UD is done. Also Majerus has owned Dayton the last 3-4 years. Alot of that is because Brian Gregory is an effing idiot, so it may change with Archie Miller, but at 3.5 we really like SLU. If this came out at 5 we were going to play it, and would have up to 6/6.5, so obviously love 3.5.

2★

Auburn +12

IL +2

Tulane +6.5

Duke -7.5

Rutgers +3

Hofstra +3.5

James Madison -4.5

St. Joes +2

GW +10

Georgia St. +7

Rice +2.5

UTEP +11.5

E. Carolina -10

IN St. +6

1★

ND +8.5

Wichita -11

IL St. +7.5

TX -2

Iowa +8.5

Tuesday January 3rd CBB

Bounced back yesterday with a nice night on the hardwood. Let's hope it is what is turning the tide after a
rough week last week. This is what we're on tonight in college hoops:

3★

Alabama -4.5

2★

Chattanooga +13

Wisconsin-Milwaukee -1.5

St. John's +8

Nebraska +23

UAB +18

Harvard -11.5

Cornell +7.5

Drake +13.5

1★

SMU +9

Siena +15.5

CBB Week 5 Recap and Monday CBB

A rough week for us in college hoops.  It happens and we'll attempt to continue to grind through it.  For the week we went 38-47 and lost 24.7 units.  For the year we're now 150-136 and not quite breaking even being down 2.5 units for -0.45% return.  Below is what we're on in hoops tonight and we'll be back tomorrow to wrap up our successful NFL Season.

CBB

2★

Chattanooga +13

Towson +11

Manhattan -10.5

Virginia -3

Niagara +10.5

UNCGB +21

Boise -2

Pacific +11.5