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Saturday, June 30, 2012

6/30 MLB

We have four positions today and all are #ITGTeam positions except for LAD.

LAD +130
CHW +130
OAK +155
DET +105
CLE TT u4.5 +105

Friday, June 29, 2012

6/29 MLB

3-2, bit of a bounce back yesterday.  Will try to keep it rolling today:

PHI +100
WA +110 #ITGTeam
MIL +115 #ITGTeam
TOR +115 #ITGTeam
CHW +110
OAK +175 #ITGTeam

Thursday, June 28, 2012

6/28 MLB

Been a rough two days and month.  Looking to turn the page here:

AZ +110 #ITGTeam
NYM +120 #ITGTeam
Oak +170 #ITGTeam
CHW +170 #ITGTeam
Cle TT u4 -115

Wednesday, June 20, 2012

6/20 MLB

Four for today, all are #ITGTeam positions. We swear a recap will be going up this evening.

SEA +145
TB +175
MN +115
PIT TT u4 +100

Monday, June 18, 2012

MLB 6/18

We'll have  recap tonight, but here's what we're on today.  All are #ITGTeam positions.

KC +105
SEA +160
SF TT u3.5 

Sunday, June 17, 2012

6/17 MLB

1-2 yesterday.  A few today, with 4 being #ITGTeam positions.

BAL +115 #ITGTeam
TB +110 #ITGTeam
CHW +105 #ITGTeam
MN TT u3.5 -115#ITGTeam
PIT TT u4 +100

Saturday, June 16, 2012

6/16 MLB

Three for today, all are #ITGTeam positions:

CHW +120
PHI TT u3.5 +110
PIT u3.5 +100


Wednesday, June 13, 2012

6/13 MLB

Two for today, as we turn this ship around.  Both are #ITGTeam positions.

NYY +100
CHW +120

Tuesday, June 12, 2012

Week 9 Recap

A very middling week from us.  We went 5-8 and lost 1 unit.  For the year we're now 104-126.  We're up 10.38 units for a 2.72% return.  We'll continue to hope to turn it around this week.  

Saturday, June 9, 2012

6/9 MLB

A tough two days.  Here's what we have today, all are #ITGTeam positions

TOR +130
CLE +130
TB +105

Wednesday, June 6, 2012

6/6 MLB

Lost our only play yesterday.  Here's what we have today.

TB +130 (ITG)
SEA +140 (ITG)
SD/SF u6 +105 (ITG)
CHC TT u3 -125

Tuesday, June 5, 2012

Week 8 Recap and 6/5 MLB

A rough week with a bit of regression.  We went 12-18 and lost 13.75 units.  For the year we're now 99-118 up 11.4 for a 3.12% return.  Below we have on position for today an ITGTeam position as well.

SEA +140 (ITGTeam)

We may have an add on the South Side of Chicago tonight, so check us on Twitter in case that happens.


Sunday, June 3, 2012

6/4 MLB

Only one position over night for 6/4 MLB.  We'll be back tomorrow to post our Week 8 recap, its highly unlikely we will be adding anything to this one position.

SEA +140 (ITGTeam)

6/3 MLB

A real nice Friday and Saturday.  We're back again today with two of the highest ground ball pitchers (Masterson and Cahill) against the highest ground ball teams (MN and SD).  We also like the under in CLE/MN because anytime you can put up a middle/end of the order that goes S. Duncan, M. LaPorta, A. Cunningham, L. Marson, you have to do it.  You don't do it to win of course, but give us teh opportunity to bet the under.  With that being said here's our card:

2 Units
MN TT u3.5 +105

1 Unit
SD TT u3.5 +100
CLE/MN u8.5

Friday, June 1, 2012

6/2 MLB

A nice start to the night looking at CLE/MN and Boston.  These are our two overnights for 6/2 MLB.  Both are ITGTeam positions and again 1 unit, unless otherwise noted moving forward.

SEA +160
LAA +105

6/1 MLB

Going into June we're going to back off a little bit.  Both in number of plays and how much.  Unless otherwise noted everything will be a 1 unit position moving forward.  However, with that being said we have our first 3 unit play and our first play on a favorite.  Both come in MN/CLE game tonight at Jacob's Field (yes, Jacob's).

You may have noticed we've been playing team totals here and there over the last few weeks.  We've been doing this mostly (and with some success) based on ground ball pitcher facing some of the most ground ball friendly teams (SD, SF, MN and CHC).  Tonight we have the pitcher who induces the highest number of ground balls (Derek Lowe) facing the team who hits the most ground balls (MN).

Last time out Lowe pitched a complete game shutout without a strikeout and induced 4 double play balls.  One would expect that at least part of this may continue.  Mr. Lowe might not have the same amount of success he had last time out, but under 4 runs at -105 looks quite appealing.

Two other components that look appealing are the Indians at -125 facing a right handed pitcher (Pavano) who's FIP is 63 points higher against left handed batters (despite a lower BABIP) and who's K/BB is 7.5 against right-handers compared to 3.2 against left-handers.  The Tribe features a lineup almost completely full of lefties.

The final component we are going to play  is something we rarely do, and that Runs + Hits + Errors.  Despite playing the under with MN team total, we like the R+H+E to go over 28 tonight.  We fully expect Lowe to allow some hits and base runners, but get out of  jams with the double play ball.  (It also is a slight hedge on our bigger position of the MN TT.

Our official card for 6/1:

3 Units
MN TT u4 -105 (ITGTeam)

2 Units
CLE -125 (ITGTeam)

1 Unit
MN/CLE R+H+E over 28 -115
BOS +105 (ITGTeam)
LAA +105