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Friday, August 31, 2012

8/31 MLB

Nice win last night with BYU and if you ended up playing Vandy, well done.  Here's what we have on the bases tonight, all 2 units.

PIT +115
SD +105
AZ +105
BOS +170

Tuesday, August 28, 2012

8/29 MLB Overnights

Overnights for tomorrow Wed. August 29th.

2 units

OAK -1.5 +125
TEX -155
DET -135
MN -110
LAA -165

1 unit
MIL -120

We'll also be looking to play OAK 1st 5, CLE TT under and BAL.

FOOTBALL! FOOTBALL! FOOTBALL!

Ittttsssss bbaaaackkkkk!!! Football season!  We're back to try and build off last year's successful CFB season.  We take a two pronged approach to CFB.  You'll see our two unit positions starting in Week 4 which are based on our models which use the last 3 weeks data.  We also do our own handicapping which are usually 1 unit places, but from time to time can range all the way up to 3 units.  We usually try to add an explanation to these positions, whereas the model positions will not have an explanation.    Below is what we're on and a position we're hoping to get a number on closer to kick.

CFB (1 units)

OH St. -22.5 This is mostly a play on Urban Meyer.  He's been one of the best ATS coaches in all of CFB while coaching.  In addition, this is his debut in his absolute dream job, the only job he probably would have returned to coaching for.  Meyer is also 6-2 ATS in Week 1 (or the first lined game - a few week ones were unlined) at Florida and Utah (we doubt Bowling Green was ever a 3 TD favorite in Week 1).  You have to think he's going to push the envelope in his first game and his team will want to give maximum effort in their first performance for him.

Penn St. -6 There's a theory out there on how to bet on injury news.  The theory goes that most people overreact to the injury, and the best position is to play the adjusted line on the team with the injury.  That's our theory here.  The line opened at -10.5 and has since dropped to -6.  At some point a line falls too far, and under 7 was that number for us.  Ohio will also face a raucous crowd who will really look to support their team in their first game back since the Sandusky Scandal.  Something says Ohio maybe unprepared for playing in front of 107,000+ who are treating this game as more than the typical warm-up, Week1 game against a MAC team it was scheduled as.

BYU -12.5  BYU opens up against a Washington St. team now led by Mike Leach.  This feels like a horrible matchup for WA St..  BYU has a stabilized its QB situation that should only improve after going on a 9 game winning streak to end the year.  What's most notable is the seven starters they return from last years #14 defense.  Leach debuting his "uncoventional" offense, with guys he didn't recruit for it, and haven't had time to become fully immersed in it, against what could be one of the country's best defenses this year, smells like trouble.

We'll also be looking to play Vanderbilt at a TD or more on Thursday.


8/28 MLB

Clean sweep yesterday.  We've now hit 12 straight and havent had a losing day in over week.  Here's what we have for tonight.

2 units
Oak -1.5 +140
TX -125
LAA -185

1 unit
Oak 1st 5 -120
CLE TT u3.5 -115

Monday, August 27, 2012

MLB Update 8/27 MLB

Since our last update we've gone 75-56 and picked up 13.7 units.  For the year we're now 218-248 and down 1.8 units for a -0.21% return.  After a really nice run here the last 2 weeks (+28 units) here's what we have today.

3 units
Oak -1.5 +120

2 units
Bal -115

1 unit
Oak 1st 5 -135
Oak/CLE u8

Sunday, August 26, 2012

8/26 MLB

Third straight winning day.  Here's what we have for 8/26:

DET -145
BAL -150
BOS -135
CHW -155

Saturday, August 25, 2012

8/25 MLB

Nice run on the 2 units yesterday.  Probably laying off the team totals for awhile (other than CLE facing LHP).  

TB -150
BAL -110
CHW -175
KC -105