1★ Play - Oklahoma St. -13.5: We tweeted this play yesterday when we saw Juron Criner, Arizona' All-PAC 10 Wide Receiver was ruled out with an illness. First we started looking at Oklahoma St. based on a trend that @beyondthebets (great follow and blog) uncovered over the summer. In ESPN's Thursday Night game, home teams are 47 - 27 against the spread. This makes sense and isn't random, the team and crowd will be pumped up for a game on National TV when no other games are on. We filed this away as something to look into each week this season. This game features a rematch of last season's Alamo Bowl in which Oklahoma St. blew out Arizona. Arizona may have the revenge factor here, but going on the road on National TV is something we think will easily be neutralized. Oklahoma St. bringing back both QB Brandon Weeden and WR Justin Blackmon gives them an edge. Oklahoma St. took down Louisiana-Lafayette by 27 in the opener, but gave up most of the points in the second half. Weeden also threw 3 interceptions which we don't see happening again. The inexperienced Arizona defense will have a hard time controlling Weeden and Blackmon. This was initially a lean of ours, but with the injury news on Criner, we just don't see them having the ability to stay with Oklahoma St. and take a position on them.
We'll back tomorrow to go through the rest of our CFB Card.
We'll back tomorrow to go through the rest of our CFB Card.
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