Another solid week for us on Saturdays. We went 6-3, and picked up an additional 2.2 Units. This drives our annual totals to 13-7, 5.4 units, and a 25.71% return. This is how we did in each matchup.
Mississippi St. +4 - LSU is good, really good - especially their defense. Their ability to shut down the Bulldog offense never let the crowd get into the game as we hoped and we were handed an early loss.
Boise St. -19.5 - Just after we thought a backdoor cover would get us, Boise State's second team drove down the field with the running game and punched one last touchdown in for a cover. The line was pretty sharp and we may have got a bit lucky.
Washington +17 - We considered a hedge at halftime that would have gotten us a middle, but passed. A rough first start to the half had us worried with the Huskies, but a solid 4th quarter allowed us to get to the window.
Arizona +10 - Stanford did better on the road than we thought. We may have to go back to looking at fading Arizona, but dont want to overreact. Despite moving the ball from time to time, they've really struggled to get points. The Wildcat defense, surely leaves much to be desired.
Navy +16 Navy nearly pulled an upset. South Carolina has struggled to do anything outside of Marcus Lattimore's rushing. We're slightly disappointed we didn't up grade this to a two unit play. The Midshipmen will likely continue to be a live dog all season.
Utah/BYU under 46 - Can we pretend this game didn't happen and move on? Needless to say, we were way off on this one and the Cougar turnovers certainly didn't help us. The Cougs will be a team we're likely to look at because so many turnovers may lead the market to overreact to this result and give us value.
Miami -2.5: This game played out almost exactly as we thought. Our only regret was not firing on the correlated parlay. We were able to make up an extra 1/2 unit by playing the 2nd half under. Ohio St. will likely struggle much of the year. This was a sad and unmitigated disaster is South Florida for the Buckeyes.
Miami/Ohio St. under 21.5 2H - We tweeted this play out at half time. Follow us @TheSportsMarket for our 2H plays and anything that doesn't make it into the blog on Saturday morning.
Clemson -3 We tweeted this play out Saturday morning. Despite a slow start, the Clemson offense took of after the first quarter and got us to the window.
Later this week we'll release our positions that utilize old-fashioned handicapping and our upgraded positions based on our financial models. We'll also describe them a bit more for you. For now, here's some early week leans.
BYU +3 vs. Central Florida
San Diego St. +10.5 @ Michigan
San Diego St. / Michigan under 60.5
Va Tech -20.5 @ Marshall
Arkansa +11.5 @ Alabama
Southern Miss. +3 @ Virginia
Missouri +22.5 @ Oklahoma
Oklahoma St. / TXAM under 69.5
Colorado/Ohio St. under 44
Mississippi St. +4 - LSU is good, really good - especially their defense. Their ability to shut down the Bulldog offense never let the crowd get into the game as we hoped and we were handed an early loss.
Boise St. -19.5 - Just after we thought a backdoor cover would get us, Boise State's second team drove down the field with the running game and punched one last touchdown in for a cover. The line was pretty sharp and we may have got a bit lucky.
Washington +17 - We considered a hedge at halftime that would have gotten us a middle, but passed. A rough first start to the half had us worried with the Huskies, but a solid 4th quarter allowed us to get to the window.
Arizona +10 - Stanford did better on the road than we thought. We may have to go back to looking at fading Arizona, but dont want to overreact. Despite moving the ball from time to time, they've really struggled to get points. The Wildcat defense, surely leaves much to be desired.
Navy +16 Navy nearly pulled an upset. South Carolina has struggled to do anything outside of Marcus Lattimore's rushing. We're slightly disappointed we didn't up grade this to a two unit play. The Midshipmen will likely continue to be a live dog all season.
Utah/BYU under 46 - Can we pretend this game didn't happen and move on? Needless to say, we were way off on this one and the Cougar turnovers certainly didn't help us. The Cougs will be a team we're likely to look at because so many turnovers may lead the market to overreact to this result and give us value.
Miami -2.5: This game played out almost exactly as we thought. Our only regret was not firing on the correlated parlay. We were able to make up an extra 1/2 unit by playing the 2nd half under. Ohio St. will likely struggle much of the year. This was a sad and unmitigated disaster is South Florida for the Buckeyes.
Miami/Ohio St. under 21.5 2H - We tweeted this play out at half time. Follow us @TheSportsMarket for our 2H plays and anything that doesn't make it into the blog on Saturday morning.
Clemson -3 We tweeted this play out Saturday morning. Despite a slow start, the Clemson offense took of after the first quarter and got us to the window.
Later this week we'll release our positions that utilize old-fashioned handicapping and our upgraded positions based on our financial models. We'll also describe them a bit more for you. For now, here's some early week leans.
BYU +3 vs. Central Florida
San Diego St. +10.5 @ Michigan
San Diego St. / Michigan under 60.5
Va Tech -20.5 @ Marshall
Arkansa +11.5 @ Alabama
Southern Miss. +3 @ Virginia
Missouri +22.5 @ Oklahoma
Oklahoma St. / TXAM under 69.5
Colorado/Ohio St. under 44
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